{"id":3702,"date":"2017-07-27T08:31:34","date_gmt":"2017-07-26T23:31:34","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/balldiamondball.com\/blog\/?p=3702"},"modified":"2017-07-28T10:02:38","modified_gmt":"2017-07-28T01:02:38","slug":"topic-for-discussion-in-the-village-of-the-darned","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/balldiamondball.com\/blog\/topic-for-discussion-in-the-village-of-the-darned\/","title":{"rendered":"Topic for discussion in the Village of the Darned"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>I&#8217;ve been reading Nassim Taleb&#8217;s(Black Swan guy)\u00a0books lately, as well as some of the work of Kahneman &amp; Tversky (behavioral economics guys).\u00a0They have lots of interesting ideas that apply to economics but also more broadly to all interactions among humans, including politics.<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s an outline of the two related topics I wanted to talk about and get everyone&#8217;s thoughts:<\/p>\n<p>Assumption of rational actors (Nassim Taleb)<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>predictability\/chaos<\/li>\n<li>mathematical tractability<\/li>\n<li>game theory (ludic fallacy)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Intuitive vs. rational thinking (Daniel Kahneman)<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>heuristics (System 1)<\/li>\n<li>reasoning (System 2)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Please see comment below for a discussion of the figures.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"text-decoration: underline\">Linear plot<\/span>:<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-3710\" src=\"http:\/\/balldiamondball.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/07\/linear.png\" alt=\"linear\" width=\"734\" height=\"421\" srcset=\"https:\/\/balldiamondball.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/07\/linear.png 734w, https:\/\/balldiamondball.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/07\/linear-150x86.png 150w, https:\/\/balldiamondball.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/07\/linear-300x172.png 300w, https:\/\/balldiamondball.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/07\/linear-250x143.png 250w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 734px) 100vw, 734px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"text-decoration: underline\">Log plot<\/span>:<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-3712\" src=\"http:\/\/balldiamondball.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/07\/log.png\" alt=\"log\" width=\"734\" height=\"421\" srcset=\"https:\/\/balldiamondball.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/07\/log.png 734w, https:\/\/balldiamondball.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/07\/log-150x86.png 150w, https:\/\/balldiamondball.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/07\/log-300x172.png 300w, https:\/\/balldiamondball.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/07\/log-250x143.png 250w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 734px) 100vw, 734px\" \/><\/p>\n<div class=\"pld-like-dislike-wrap pld-template-1\">\r\n    <div class=\"pld-like-wrap  pld-common-wrap\">\r\n    <a href=\"https:\/\/balldiamondball.com\/blog\/wp-login.php\" class=\"pld-like-trigger pld-like-dislike-trigger  \" title=\"\" data-post-id=\"3702\" data-trigger-type=\"like\" data-restriction=\"user\" data-already-liked=\"0\">\r\n                        <i class=\"fas fa-thumbs-up\"><\/i>\r\n                <\/a>\r\n    <span class=\"pld-like-count-wrap pld-count-wrap\">    <\/span>\r\n<\/div><div class=\"pld-dislike-wrap  pld-common-wrap\">\r\n    <a href=\"https:\/\/balldiamondball.com\/blog\/wp-login.php\" class=\"pld-dislike-trigger pld-like-dislike-trigger  \" title=\"\" data-post-id=\"3702\" data-trigger-type=\"dislike\" data-restriction=\"user\" data-already-liked=\"0\">\r\n                        <i class=\"fas fa-thumbs-down\"><\/i>\r\n                <\/a>\r\n    <span class=\"pld-dislike-count-wrap pld-count-wrap\"><\/span>\r\n<\/div><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>I&#8217;ve been reading Nassim Taleb&#8217;s(Black Swan guy)\u00a0books lately, as well as some of the work of Kahneman &amp; Tversky (behavioral economics guys).\u00a0They have lots of interesting ideas that apply to economics but also more broadly to all interactions among humans, including politics.<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s an outline of the two related topics I wanted to talk about and get everyone&#8217;s thoughts:<\/p>\n<p>Assumption of rational actors (Nassim Taleb)<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>predictability\/chaos<\/li>\n<li>mathematical tractability<\/li>\n<li>game theory (ludic fallacy)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Intuitive vs. rational thinking (Daniel Kahneman)<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>heuristics (System 1)<\/li>\n<li>reasoning (System 2)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Please see comment below for a discussion of the figures.<\/p>\n<p>Linear plot:<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-3710\" src=\"http:\/\/balldiamondball.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/07\/linear.png\" alt=\"linear\" width=\"734\" height=\"421\" srcset=\"https:\/\/balldiamondball.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/07\/linear.png 734w, https:\/\/balldiamondball.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/07\/linear-150x86.png 150w, https:\/\/balldiamondball.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/07\/linear-300x172.png 300w, https:\/\/balldiamondball.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/07\/linear-250x143.png 250w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 734px) 100vw, 734px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Log plot:<\/p>\n<p><img ... <a href=\"https:\/\/balldiamondball.com\/blog\/topic-for-discussion-in-the-village-of-the-darned\/\"> Continue reading <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr; <\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5602,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3702","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/balldiamondball.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3702","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/balldiamondball.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/balldiamondball.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/balldiamondball.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5602"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/balldiamondball.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=3702"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/balldiamondball.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3702\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":3713,"href":"https:\/\/balldiamondball.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3702\/revisions\/3713"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/balldiamondball.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=3702"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/balldiamondball.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=3702"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/balldiamondball.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=3702"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}